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  US dollar breaking down, Australian dollar breaking higher

The Australian dollar (A$) is continuing to push further

above parity against the US dollar (US$), reaching a 29-year

high. This reflects a combination of strong commodity

prices, US$ weakness and high Australian interest rates.

Unless the global economy slides back into recession, which

appears unlikely, the A$ is likely to average above parity

over the next few years on the back of strong commodity

prices and relatively high Australian interest rates. Expect

US$1.10 by year end.

On balance, a strong A$ is positive for the Australian

economy and is part of the adjustment made necessary

by strong demand for Australian raw material exports.

 

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About Oliver's Insights

Oliver's Insights is a regular update from Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist, AMP Capital Investors. In Oliver's Insights, Dr Shane Oliver explores the latest issues regarding financial markets and the economy.

Who is Dr Shane Oliver?

Dr Shane Oliver joined AMP in 1984 as a research officer and in 1994 became AMP's Chief Economist. He now plays a major role in determining AMP Capital Investors investment strategy and asset allocation. He also provides economic forecasts and analysis to the asset class portfolio managers. As Chief Economist, he maintains a media profile for AMP Capital Investors on economic and investment market issues.




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The advice on this page is not based on your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice is to those objectives, financial situation and needs before acting on the advice and, before buying any financial product, you should read the current product disclosure statement.

CA Financial Services Group Pty Ltd ABN: 94 003 100 301 is an Authorised Representative of AMP Financial Planning Pty Limited ABN 89 051 208 327 (AMPFP). AMPFP holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (No 232706).

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